Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur — Indian Wells Masters Round of 16
Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
ARG25#25ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
AUS9#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Cerundolo F.7-5 6-3
De Minaur A.
Cerundolo F.
762
De Minaur A.
530
Francisco Cerundolo defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Francisco Cerundolo claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
Key context
- Match story: Francisco Cerundolo closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Hamburg | R32 | clay | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 4-6 3-6 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 5-7 7-6 6-3 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
87
94
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Slight edge
89
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
96
83
Cerundolo F.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast