Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon NakashimaDelray Beach Quarter-final

Delray Beach · ATP · Quarter-final
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025 ·
hard
#22ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Arnaldi M.
7-6 6-4
Nakashima B.
Arnaldi M.
762
Nakashima B.
640

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-4 in the Delray Beach quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Brandon Nakashima in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 6-4
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsRRhardBrandon Nakashima2-4 4-3 4-3 3-4 4-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
36
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Clear edge
22
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
58
37
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
80
52

Arnaldi M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw