Denis Shapovalov vs Casper RuudDallas Final

Dallas · ATP · Final
#48ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025 ·
hard
#17ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
Shapovalov D.
7-6 6-3
Ruud C.
Shapovalov D.
762
Ruud C.
630

Denis Shapovalov defeated Casper Ruud 7-6 6-3 in the Dallas final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Denis Shapovalov claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13StockholmSFhardCasper Ruud6-3 6-4
2022-05-09Rome MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-6 7-5
2021-05-17GenevaFclayCasper Ruud7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.6
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
88
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Even
70
74
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
71
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
90

Shapovalov D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Ruud C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw