Denis Shapovalov vs Tommy PaulDallas Semi-final

Dallas · ATP · Semi-final
#48ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Shapovalov D.
7-5 6-3
Paul T.
Shapovalov D.
762
Paul T.
530

Denis Shapovalov defeated Tommy Paul 7-5 6-3 in the Dallas semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending the title. Denis Shapovalov narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR32hardDenis Shapovalov3-6 6-4 6-3
2022-06-15LondonR32carpetTommy Paul6-4 2-6 6-4
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR32grassTommy Paul6-4 2-6 6-4
2021-11-08StockholmFhardTommy Paul6-4 2-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
90
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
70
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
71
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
83
51

Shapovalov D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw