Matteo Arnaldi vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025 ·
hard
#27ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Arnaldi M.
6-1 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Arnaldi M.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
130

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-1 6-3 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Matteo Arnaldi narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2025-02-10Delray BeachSFhardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2024-08-05Canada MastersR16hardMatteo Arnaldi4-6 7-6 3-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
87
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Dominant
22
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Arnaldi M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw