

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the Rotterdam final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 7–0.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-5 6-2 6-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Tour Finals | RR | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | QF | clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-06-25 | London | F | carpet | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | F | grass | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-04-18 | Barcelona | SF | clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-7 7-6 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About