Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek — Australian Open Semi-final
Australian Open · WTA · Semi-final
USA19#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025 ·
hard
POL2#5WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Keys M.5-7 6-1 7-6
Swiatek I.
Keys M.
5672
Swiatek I.
7161
Madison Keys defeated Iga Swiatek 5-7 6-1 7-6 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's round of 32. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys dropped the opening set before beating Iga Swiatek 5–7 6–1 7–6.
Head to head
1–6| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | QF | clay | Iga Swiatek | 0-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome | QF | clay | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | SF | clay | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome | R32 | clay | Iga Swiatek | 7-5 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
89
97
Break points saved·Even
85
87
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Even
94
96
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
66
59
Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast