Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BublikAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#25ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025 ·
hard
#13ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Cerundolo F.
7-6 6-3 6-2
Bublik A.
Cerundolo F.
7663
Bublik A.
6320

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-3 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Francisco Cerundolo claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaR16hardAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
11.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 109). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
81
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Dominant
89
54
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
97
Tiebreaks·Even
88
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Cerundolo F.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw