Reilly Opelka vs Matteo ArnaldiBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 16
#142ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$6.2MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024 ·
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Opelka R.
7-6 7-6
Arnaldi M.
Opelka R.
772
Arnaldi M.
660

Reilly Opelka defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 7-6 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, but Reilly Opelka had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Clear edge
0
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
58
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw