Jasmine Paolini vs Elena RybakinaWTA Finals Round Robin

WTA Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 2 November 2024 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Paolini J.
7-6 6-4
Rybakina E.
Paolini J.
7762
Rybakina E.
6540

Jasmine Paolini defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 6-4 in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round-robin. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13NingboSFhardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardJasmine Paolini7-6 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayJasmine Paolini6-2 4-6 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-3 5-7 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardJasmine Paolini4-6 5-2
2023-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina7-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
62%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
98
Break points saved·Dominant
46
96
Break points won·Even
96
96
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw