
Alexandre Muller defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 6-4 in the Umag round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, defending last year's semi-final. Alexandre Muller extended the head-to-head to 2–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Q2 | clay | Alexandre Muller | 6-1 6-7 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-4 6-1 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (134 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Muller A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About