Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#84WTA
1780ELO
1647Grass ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024 ·
grass
#68WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Badosa P.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Badosa P.
7462
Kasatkina D.
6641

Paula Badosa defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #68, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 7-5
2024-10-14NingboSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 0-0
2023-04-17StuttgartR32clayPaula Badosa6-1 6-1
2022-08-01San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-4
2022-05-09RomeR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneySFhardPaula Badosa6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
5.6
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 139). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
53
Break points saved·Dominant
84
21
Break points won·Slight edge
95
100
Deciding sets·Even
93
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Kasatkina D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw