Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine Paolini — Indian Wells Round of 16
Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
RUS28#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024 ·
hard
ITA13#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Potapova A.7-5 0-6 6-3
Paolini J.
Potapova A.
7062
Paolini J.
5631
Anastasia Potapova defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 0-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 128. Anastasia Potapova claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
Key context
- Match story: Anastasia Potapova closed it out in three sets, 7–5 0–6 6–3.
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-7 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
1.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (112 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
64
77
Break points saved·Even
49
46
Break points won·Slight edge
90
96
Deciding sets·Even
94
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
95
—
Potapova A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast