

Holger Rune defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 64. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-06-23 | London | QF | carpet | Holger Rune | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | QF | grass | Holger Rune | 6-4 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (124 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Musetti L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About