Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerIndian Wells Masters Semi-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024 ·
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
Alcaraz C.
1-6 6-3 6-2
Sinner J.
Alcaraz C.
1662
Sinner J.
6321

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Jannik Sinner 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 9–7.

Key context

Head to head

87
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersFclayJannik Sinner7-6 6-3
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz5-0
2025-06-30WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-6
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7 6-4 7-6
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-7 6-4 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7 6-7 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
59%
Service points won·Even
68%
72%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
73%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 181). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
99
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw