
Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-3 in the Adelaide quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Ningbo | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 6-0 6-2 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome | R64 | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-0 6-4 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 7-5 7-6 |
| 2020-01-06 | Shenzhen | F | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 6-2 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Alexandrova E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About