Alex De Minaur vs Alexander ZverevUnited Cup Semi-final

United Cup · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024 ·
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
De Minaur A.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Zverev A.
De Minaur A.
5662
Zverev A.
7341

Alex De Minaur defeated Alexander Zverev 5-7 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 8–2, defending last year's round-robin. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 8–3.

Key context

Head to head

28
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-1 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev5-7 6-2 6-3
2022-05-09Rome MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev6-3 7-6
2021-10-25ViennaR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 3-6 6-2
2020-01-06Atp CupRRhardAlex De Minaur4-6 7-6 6-2
2019-02-25AcapulcoQFhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2018-10-08Shanghai MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-1 6-4
2018-07-30WashingtonFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2018-02-02Davis Cup WG R1: AUS vs GERRRhardAlexander Zverev7-5 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (185 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
97
89
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
72
71

De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw