Mattia Bellucci vs Pablo Carreno BustaMalaga CH Round of 16

Malaga CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#81ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$597kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Bellucci M.
6-3 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Bellucci M.
672
Carreno Busta P.
360

Mattia Bellucci defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 7-6 in the Malaga CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #72, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mattia Bellucci claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQ1hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 2-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
41
46
Break points saved·Even
95
93
Break points won·Dominant
4
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
14
Tiebreaks·Even
83
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
88

Bellucci M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw