Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo ArnaldiUmag Semi-final

Umag · ATP · Semi-final
#128ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$573kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023 ·
clay
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Popyrin A.
6-7 7-5 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.
6762
Arnaldi M.
7531

Alexei Popyrin defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-7 7-5 6-3 in the Umag semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardMatteo Arnaldi6-3 6-2
2023-11-26Davis Cup Finals F: AUS vs ITARRhardMatteo Arnaldi7-5 2-6 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardMatteo Arnaldi4-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
49
54
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Clear edge
1
22
Deciding sets·Slight edge
68
58
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
85

Popyrin A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw