
Alexei Popyrin defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-7 7-5 6-3 in the Umag semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | R32 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-11-26 | Davis Cup Finals F: AUS vs ITA | RR | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-5 2-6 6-4 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | R128 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Popyrin A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About