Andrey Rublev vs Alexander BublikWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#18ATP
1902ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023 ·
grass
#13ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Rublev A.
7-5 6-3 6-7 6-7 6-4
Bublik A.
Rublev A.
766663
Bublik A.
537742

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Bublik 7-5 6-3 6-7 6-7 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 5–4, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in five sets, 7–5 6–3 6–7 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

45
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 0-6 6-4
2025-02-17DohaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-02-26DubaiSFhardAlexander Bublik6-7 7-6 6-5
2023-06-19HalleFgrassAlexander Bublik6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7 7-6
2019-10-15MoscowR32hardAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-4
2016-10-17MoscowQ1hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6
2016-10-15MoscowQ16hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(10)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
11.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
83
81
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
65
54
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Even
87
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw