

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-0 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | R32 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 7-6 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | QF | hard | Liudmila Samsonova | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-09-13 | Luxembourg | SF | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-1 7-6 |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-1 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (185 vs 178). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Samsonova L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About