

Pavel Kotov defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-3 in the Phoenix CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Pavel Kotov claimed a first win over Mattia Bellucci in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Marrakech | R32 | clay | Mattia Bellucci | 6-4 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (162 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Kotov P.: 21 days rest · Bellucci M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About