Tatjana Maria vs Jasmine PaoliniIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#80WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023 ·
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Maria T.
7-5 6-1
Paolini J.
Maria T.
762
Paolini J.
510

Tatjana Maria defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Tatjana Maria narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tatjana Maria came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23EastbourneR32grassTatjana Maria4-6 3-6
2024-03-06Indian WellsR64hardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardJasmine Paolini6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
77
Break points saved·Dominant
4
46
Break points won·Dominant
70
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Maria T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw