Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Dominic Thiem 6-4 6-4 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Dominic Thiem came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-15 | Gstaad | R32 | clay | Juan Pablo Varillas | 6-3 5-7 7-6 |
| 2023-09-25 | Astana | R32 | hard | Dominic Thiem | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2022-07-18 | Gstaad | QF | clay | Dominic Thiem | 6-4 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About