Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Brandon Nakashima — Australian Open Round of 128
Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023 ·
hard
#22ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Mcdonald M.7-6 7-6 1-6 6-7 6-4
Nakashima B.
Mcdonald M.
771663
Nakashima B.
666742
Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 7-6 1-6 6-7 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 128. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 4–1.
Key context
- Match story: Mackenzie Mcdonald closed it out in five sets, 7–6 7–6 1–6 6–7 6–4.
Head to head
3–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | R16 | clay | Brandon Nakashima | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2024-07-22 | Atlanta | R32 | hard | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | R16 | hard | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-2 6-0 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | R64 | hard | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 7-5 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
8.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
29
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
73
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
44
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
80
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
78
44
Mcdonald M.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast