

Sebastian Korda defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-3 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's final. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | R32 | clay | Daniil Medvedev | 5-7 7-6 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | R32 | hard | Sebastian Korda | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | R16 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 4-6 6-1 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (161 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Medvedev D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About