Marta Kostyuk vs Elena RybakinaAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Round of 16
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Kostyuk M.
6-7 6-2 6-3
Rybakina E.
Kostyuk M.
6662
Rybakina E.
7231

Marta Kostyuk defeated Elena Rybakina 6-7 6-2 6-3 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending last year's final. Marta Kostyuk claimed a first win over Elena Rybakina in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-22MiamiR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-4
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2025-07-27MontrealQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 2-1
2024-04-15StuttgartFclayElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardElena Rybakina6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (177 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
99
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
96
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
69

Kostyuk M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw