Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De MinaurParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#23ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022 ·
hard
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Tiafoe F.
6-3 7-6
De Minaur A.
Tiafoe F.
672
De Minaur A.
360

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Frances Tiafoe had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard. Frances Tiafoe claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-4 7-5
2025-07-27Canada MastersR16hardAlex De Minaur6-2 4-6 6-4
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsSFhardAlex De Minaur4-2 4-1 0-4 4-2
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-0 5-7 6-2
2017-01-02BrisbaneQ2hardAlex De Minaur6-7 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
94
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
45
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
95
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
59
66

Tiafoe F.: played today · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw