Aryna Sabalenka defeated Kaia Kanepi 2-6 7-6 6-4 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kaia Kanepi came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Aryna Sabalenka had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard. Aryna Sabalenka claimed a first win over Kaia Kanepi in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Kaia Kanepi | 5-7 6-2 7-6 |
| 2021-01-31 | Gippsland Trophy | R32 | hard | Kaia Kanepi | 6-1 2-6 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About