Jesper De Jong defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the Rome CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Jesper De Jong claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Q1 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-10-18 | Vienna | Q16 | hard | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | R32 | clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
De Jong J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About