Maria Sakkari vs Elena RybakinaIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Sakkari M.
7-5 6-4
Rybakina E.
Sakkari M.
762
Rybakina E.
540

Maria Sakkari defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's round of 64. Maria Sakkari claimed a first win over Elena Rybakina in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayElena Rybakina4-6 1-6
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassElena Rybakina6-3 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2024-03-18MiamiQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-7 6-4
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-7 7-6
2020-02-10St. PetersburgSFhardElena Rybakina3-6 7-5 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
6.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
98
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
96
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
56

Sakkari M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw