Thiago Monteiro defeated Sebastian Baez 1-6 6-4 6-4 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Thiago Monteiro claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | R64 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-02-19 | Rio de Janeiro | QF | clay | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 1-6 6-2 |
| 2022-02-21 | Santiago | QF | clay | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 3-6 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Monteiro T.: 16 days rest · Baez S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About