Aslan Karatsev vs Mackenzie McdonaldAustralian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
#1337ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022 ·
hard
#144ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
Karatsev A.
3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Karatsev A.
36663
Mcdonald M.
62231

Aslan Karatsev defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #144, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Aslan Karatsev had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 5 on hard. Aslan Karatsev narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-06Rome MastersR128clayAslan Karatsev4-6 6-3 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Dominant
39
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
29
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Mcdonald M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw