Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevMoscow Round of 16

Moscow · ATP · Round of 16
#52ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$644kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021 ·
hard
#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Mannarino A.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Rublev A.
Mannarino A.
5762
Rublev A.
7631

Adrian Mannarino defeated Andrey Rublev 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Moscow round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-2 6-3
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-0
2022-10-03AstanaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-2
2019-10-14MoscowFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
83
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Slight edge
71
65
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
79

Mannarino A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw