
Adrian Mannarino defeated Andrey Rublev 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Moscow round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Andrey Rublev | 7-5 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2022-10-03 | Astana | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2019-10-14 | Moscow | F | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-0 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Mannarino A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About