
Aslan Karatsev defeated Tommy Paul 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aslan Karatsev claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | R64 | clay | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About