Pablo Carreno Busta vs Daniil MedvedevTokyo Olympics Quarter-final

Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Quarter-final
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021 ·
hard
#7ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-2 7-6
Medvedev D.
Carreno Busta P.
672
Medvedev D.
260

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-2 7-6 in the Tokyo Olympics quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-28Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs RTFRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-1 6-1
2021-06-21MallorcaSFgrassDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 6-2
2018-10-29Paris MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2018-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 7-5
2017-10-16MoscowR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Dominant
60
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
72

Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw