Pablo Carreno Busta vs Novak DjokovicTokyo Olympics Bronze Final

Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Bronze Final
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021 ·
hard
#5ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Djokovic N.
Carreno Busta P.
6662
Djokovic N.
4731

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Tokyo Olympics bronze final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Pablo Carreno Busta claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-09-28Roland GarrosQFclayNovak Djokovic4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersR16hardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2017-04-17Monte Carlo MastersR16clayNovak Djokovic6-2 4-6 6-4
2014-04-13Monte Carlo MastersR16clayNovak Djokovic6-0 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Dominant
60
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw