
Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Tokyo Olympics bronze final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Pablo Carreno Busta claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Novak Djokovic | 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | R16 | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2017-04-17 | Monte Carlo Masters | R16 | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |
| 2014-04-13 | Monte Carlo Masters | R16 | clay | Novak Djokovic | 6-0 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About