Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sebastian Baez — Hamburg Qualifying Round 2

Hamburg · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER6
Juan Pablo Varillas
#236ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 July 2021 ·
clay
Sebastian Baez
ARG10
Sebastian Baez
#53ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Varillas J.
6-2 3-6 7-6
Baez S.
Varillas J.
6372
Baez S.
2661

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Sebastian Baez 6-2 3-6 7-6 in the Hamburg qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 4–0, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26SantiagoR16claySebastian Baez4-6 6-4 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR128claySebastian Baez7-5 6-3
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroR16claySebastian Baez7-5 7-6
2022-02-21SantiagoR32claySebastian Baez6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Baez S.
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
86
Break points won·Dominant
45
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
29
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Baez S.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
78

Varillas J.: 18 days rest · Baez S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw