Alexei Popyrin vs Tommy PaulMurray River Open Round of 32

Murray River Open · ATP · Round of 32
#128ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$573kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 February 2021 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Popyrin A.
6-4 6-3
Paul T.
Popyrin A.
662
Paul T.
430

Alexei Popyrin defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 6-3 in the Murray River Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayTommy Paul6-3 6-3 6-3
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR16grassTommy Paul5-7 6-4 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersQ2hardTommy Paul4-6 6-4 6-3
2019-08-05Canada MastersQ1hardTommy Paul6-4 5-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
90
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
1
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
98
Tiebreaks·Even
88
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
51

Popyrin A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw