Reilly Opelka vs Daniil MedvedevSt Petersburg Round of 16

St Petersburg · ATP · Round of 16
#142ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$6.2MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 October 2020 ·
hard
#7ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Opelka R.
2-6 7-5 6-4
Medvedev D.
Opelka R.
2762
Medvedev D.
6541

Reilly Opelka defeated Daniil Medvedev 2-6 7-5 6-4 in the St Petersburg round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Reilly Opelka narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR32hardDaniil Medvedev3-6 7-5 6-1
2025-06-09s HertogenboschQFgrassReilly Opelka7-6 7-6
2021-08-09Canada MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2 6-4
2019-03-18Miami MastersR32hardDaniil Medvedev7-6 6-7 7-6
2017-07-31WashingtonR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-7 6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.3
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
96
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
0
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Medvedev D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw