Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Garbine Muguruza 6-4 6-3 in the Shenzhen semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Garbine Muguruza came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Ekaterina Alexandrova had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 8 on hard. Ekaterina Alexandrova claimed a first win over Garbine Muguruza in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | R16 | hard | Garbine Muguruza | 6-1 7-6 |
| 2017-07-03 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Garbine Muguruza | 6-2 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Alexandrova E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About