Jan Lennard Struff vs Pablo Carreno BustaAuckland Quarter-final

Auckland · ATP · Quarter-final
#43ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 January 2019 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Lennard Struff J.
7-6 6-7 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Lennard Struff J.
7672
Carreno Busta P.
6761

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-7 7-6 in the Auckland quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 5–0. Jan Lennard Struff claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-22Davis Cup Finals SF: ESP vs GERRRhardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6
2020-11-02Paris MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6 6-2
2019-07-22HamburgR16clayPablo Carreno Busta6-1 7-6
2016-08-22Winston-SalemR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-5
2014-04-13Monte Carlo MastersQ1clayPablo Carreno Busta5-7 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
51
46
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Dominant
5
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
88

Lennard Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw