Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Aljaz Bedene 6-4 6-7 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aljaz Bedene came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-16 | Metz | QF | hard | Aljaz Bedene | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2018-07-23 | Hamburg | R16 | clay | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-2 4-0 |
| 2018-02-19 | Rio de Janeiro | R16 | clay | Aljaz Bedene | 6-2 5-7 6-2 |
| 2016-05-23 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Aljaz Bedene | 7-6 6-3 4-6 5-7 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 162). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About