Pablo Carreno Busta defeated David Ferrer 6-3 6-3 in the Estoril semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — David Ferrer came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-07 | Auckland | R16 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1-1 |
| 2017-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | R16 | hard | David Ferrer | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2014-06-23 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | David Ferrer | 6-0 6-7 6-1 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About