Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Head-to-Head Record

Holger Rune

Denmark

2–3
5 meetings
Pablo Carreno Busta

Spain

Hard: 1–2Clay: 1–0Grass: 0–1
Weighted by importance & recency
2.7–2.3
The same matches re-weighted by what was at stake and how recently — a Grand Slam final this year counts for more than an early round a decade ago.
Holger Rune
2–3
Pablo Carreno Busta

Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 5 times on the professional tour. Pablo Carreno Busta leads the head-to-head 3–2. Their most recent meeting came at DEN vs ESP in 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
⚠Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Rune H. and Carreno Busta P. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rune H. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Carreno Busta P. 4–2 (67%). Only 2 of the comparisons are context-comparable — too few for a conclusion.

2–2 · 50%Rune H. · better vs 0
Record vs common opponents
4–2 · 67%Carreno Busta P. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–5Sets8–5
71–66Games66–54
2–2Tiebreaks2–0
0–2Deciding sets1–0
Carreno Busta P. better · same surface · incl. team event · ⚠ lower-tier event▾
Both won · same surface▾
Hard to compare — different surface & timing
Both won · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 6 months apart▾
Both lost · hard to compare — same surface · 7 months apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno Busta stats comparison

Ratings

#102 ATPRanking#72 ATP
1757Elo (overall)1801
1725Hard Elo1744
1729Clay Elo1767
1628Grass Elo1598

Form

WLWWWLWWLWLast 10LWLLWLWLWL
2026 win rate·
—
63%
02026 titles1

Clutch

Under pressure
Holger RunePablo Carreno Busta
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Dominant
87
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Holger RunePablo Carreno Busta
Freshness·
—
88

Pablo Carreno Busta: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Serve vs return

Recent form
Holger Runeserving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Bustaserving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Holger Rune

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Set records · last ~30 matches

First sets won·Even
60%
63%
Deciding sets won·Clear edge
42%
58%
Tiebreaks won·
33%
—

Career

Career win rate·Slight edge
65%
59%
5Career titles7

Profile

23Age35
188 cmHeight188 cm
RightPlaysRight

Set records use each player's last ~30 completed matches; form shows the last 10 results. Ratings come from the same data that powers the Umpiry Score.

All 5 meetings

Frequently asked questions

Who leads the head-to-head between Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno Busta?

Pablo Carreno Busta leads the head-to-head against Holger Rune 3–2 after 5 meetings.

How many times have Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno Busta played each other?

Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno Busta have played each other 5 times on the professional tour.

When did Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno Busta last play each other?

Their most recent meeting came at DEN vs ESP in 2025, where Holger Rune won.